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Jupiter’s Great Red Spot has long been a fascinating subject for astronomers. This massive storm system, located in the planet’s southern hemisphere, has been raging for over 400 years—or so we thought. Recent research suggests that the spot we see today may not be the same one observed in the 17th century by astronomers like Robert Hooke and Giovanni Cassini.

A team of researchers in Spain has conducted a study to model the physical characteristics and movement of the Great Red Spot. Their analysis indicates that the current spot is likely not the same one observed by Cassini. In fact, they suggest that the original “Permanent Spot” likely disappeared between the mid-18th and 19th centuries, making the current spot less than 200 years old.

The Great Red Spot is an anticyclonic storm that rotates counterclockwise in Jupiter’s southern hemisphere. It is incredibly large and stable, thanks to its position between two jet streams flowing in opposite directions. Despite its stability, the spot has been shrinking over the past few decades and changing shape from an oval to a more circular form.

Researchers now believe that the Great Red Spot may disappear soon, as Jupiter may have had multiple such spots in its history. Historical sources and numerical simulations have provided new perspectives on the spot’s evolution, suggesting that it may have formed from a massive superstorm or the merger of smaller vortices.

While it’s possible for the Great Red Spot to be over four centuries old, it’s unlikely. The team is now calculating the predicted evolution of the spot and the likelihood of a new vertex appearing after this one disappears. Some models suggest that the spot may vanish within decades.

This study offers valuable insights into the history and future of Jupiter’s Great Red Spot. By combining historical observations with modern simulations, researchers are unraveling the mystery of this iconic storm system in our solar system. Jupiter continues to surprise us with its dynamic and ever-changing nature, and the Great Red Spot is just one of many wonders waiting to be explored in the vast expanse of space.